☀️ “The September sun provided the Arc prep races with perfect ground and steady rhythms. But beyond visual impressions, it’s the tracking data that reveals the true hierarchy.”
📊 “Comparative analysis of times, sectionals, and speed ratings.”
Watch the Arc Trials replay on Mclloyd Spectator📊
🏆 Prix Vermeille (G1) – Aventure the boss, in a tight trio
Aventure (2’29″34 – SR 100)
🔥 Sharpest section: 10.59 (400–200m), the best of all the prep races.
💪 Strong finish: 33.11 over the last 600m.
➝ 🐎 Champion’s profile, capable of unleashing a short, explosive burst.
Gezora (2’29″57 – SR 99)
👍 Solid runner-up, very good finish: 33.09.
⏱️ Matched Bedtime Story with 21.82 for the final 400m.
➝ ⚡ Dangerous closer, with a sharp kick and great consistency.
Bedtime Story (2’29″83 – SR 98)
🕰️ Came from behind, with the most incisive finish: 33.07.
📈 400–200m section: 10.60, almost identical to Aventure.
➝ 🎯 High-class outsider, just a notch behind the leading pair.
📌 Conclusion: The Vermeille unveiled three genuine Arc fillies, with Aventure standing out thanks to the brilliance of her mid-race acceleration, while Gezora and Bedtime Story showed equally compelling time profiles.
Watch the race replay with full data here 💻
🏇 Prix Foy (G2) – Byzantine Dream, the archetype
Byzantine Dream (2’28″21 – SR 105)
⏱️ Fastest overall time of all the prep races.
🧱 Finish: 33.09, consistent and strong.
🧮 Key section: 10.75, progressive speed.
➝ 🥇 The most complete horse: stamina + finish, top-level figures.
Sosie (2’28″39 – SR 102)
🔁 Very close on time, but slower finish: 33.40.
⚖️ 400–200m section in 10.91, less sharp.
➝ 📉 Consistent, a very solid outsider.
📊 Request full access to the data here ⏱️⏱️
📌 Conclusion: Byzantine Dream stands out: fastest overall time, highest speed rating (105), and remarkable consistency.
🐴 Prix Niel (G2) – Lower level
Cualificar (2’30″56 – SR 86)
⬇️ Weak finish: 34.09, key section in 11.28.
➝ 🧱 Solid but lacking a sharp acceleration.
Bay City Roller (2’30″60 – SR 86)
⚡ Best mid-section: 11.09, but finish still slow (34.01).
➝ 📉 More impactful than the winner, but still limited.
Conclusion 👉 Data insufficient to challenge the Vermeille or the Foy contenders.
*Additional distance covered = distance actually run by the horse minus the theoretical race distance (2400 m), reflecting the impact of race positioning.
Overall verdict 👇
🔮 2025 Arc Projection
Based on the data, the Vermeille trio (Aventure, Gezora, Bedtime Story) and Byzantine Dream form the key quartet. 📌 The anticipated duel: the Foy’s steady power versus the fillies’ sharp acceleration.
